When the Browns (6-5) face the Ravens (7-3) in the penultimate game of NFL Week 12 on “Sunday Night Football” (8:20 p.m. ET, NBC), one team will look to take control of the AFC North while the other will try to stay alive in the division.
Cleveland and Baltimore play after Pittsburgh and Cincinnati do earlier in the day with not much separation from first and last place. That makes every game in AFC North interplay hard to predict, as the Steelers and Bengals also went into a tight matchup.
The Browns have quarterback Baker Mayfield dealing with multiple injuries and that to his supporting cast, but he will be boosted by running back Kareem Hunt and right tackle Jack Conklin returning from injured reserve to help Nick Chubb, Jarvis Landry, the tight ends and the rest of the offensive line. The Ravens will get Lamar Jackson (illness) back to lead the offense and maybe also top wide receiver Marquise Brown (thigh-questionable).
Here’s everything to know about betting on Browns vs. Ravens in Week 12, including updated odds, trends and our prediction for “Sunday Night Football.”
NFL WEEK 12 PICKS: Against the spread | Straight up
Browns vs. Ravens odds for Sunday Night Football
- Spread: Ravens by 3.5
- Over/under: 47
- Moneyine: Browns +165, Ravens -186
The Ravens were four-point favorites earlier in the week but the spread has been trimmed a little based on the Browns getting healthier in the running game matching the Ravens getting healthier in the passing game. The point total is about average.
(betting odds per FanDuel Sportsbook)
Browns vs. Ravens all-time series
The Ravens, who once upon a time used to the previous Browns in the NFL, are a dominant 33-11 against the new Browns. The Ravens have won three straight in the series to pad their advantage with the Browns last winning in 2019. The Ravens also have four of five and 9 of 11 games in the rivalry.
Three trends to know
—57 percent of spread bettors think the Ravens will take care of the small number in their favor despite some home vulnerabilities and a little volatility because of their weaknesses.
—55 percent of over/under bettors like the game to be lower-scoring than the modest total given the defenses are still pretty strong and the offenses are limited in different ways.
—The Browns are 4-6 against the spread and 6-4 straight up in their past 10 games with the total going over in half of them. The Ravens are also 4-6 ATS in their past 10 games, going 7-3 SU. The total also went over in half.
Three things to watch
The tight ends
Mark Andrews needs to keep coming through for the Ravens all over the field with injuries creeping into the wide receiver corps again The Browns have had some trouble covering the position this season. On the other side, big and athletic Austin Hooper can cause problems for the Ravens’ back seven coverage. Both teams need to exploit this part of the matchup well.
Lamar, sharper or rusty?
Jackson didn’t get the chance to suit up against the Bears with Tyler Huntley filling in well during the victory. He has a great season of running and throwing downfield, but he had missed some throws the past few weeks. Maybe the midseason break will rejuvenate him to come out with more accuracy and quickness. Or it might take him a while to get back into a rhythm. The Ravens would like a fast start to make things tougher on the Browns. The Ravens don’t want to be operating from behind like they’ve done often this season.
Mayfield on the mend?
The Browns’ quarterback is battling through several injures and has grinded through them. Mayfield is a tough gamer and has heard the criticism questioning his future again. Expect him to play one of his best games when the Browns need it most, but will it be enough to outduel Jackson?
Stat that matters
30.5 percent. That’s the frequency of opposing offenses converting third downs on the Ravens’ defense. Baltimore is No. 1 in the league in those situations, making up for some defensive breakdowns in other areas. The team has been even tougher in the past three games. The Browns have been struggling to keep the chains moving all season when they’re not making big plays.
Browns vs. Ravens prediction
The Browns will be pumped to play better with their run-heavy offense and Mayfield tends to get hot at this time of season. The Ravens will welcome back a rested and recorded Jackson and be revved up to match ground for ground, then take the advantage through the air. Jackson is playing at an MVP level, Mayfield is not; they will meet somewhere in the middle here.
Ravens 24, Browns 21